You guys think I’ll end up around 2:40h or perhaps slightly above when interpreting the votes given so far. This would be an improvement of 9 to 10 minutes over the run in Rotterdam half a year ago, not bad! By now I agree that it won’t be a sub-2:30h in Berlin. The training and races this year were unfortunately not on that level, yet. I guess, the human body can go through a development only at a certain pace. Training even more doesn’t linearly lead to a faster progression. And since one isn’t 25 anymore… I sound like an old fart.
I assume the high percentage at above 2:49h was a misunderstanding of the questoin. Readers might have clicked at the time they intend to run themselves.